Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sunderland beat Leicester City with a 23.2% chance and Bournemouth beat Liverpool with a 20.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 27 (before the first match) against those on December 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champion | 24.8% | 12.9% | −11.9 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 30.3% | 18.8% | −11.5 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 80.2% | 69.0% | −11.2 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 63.7% | 52.6% | −11.1 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 38.8% | 49.8% | +11.0 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 22.6% | 33.3% | +10.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 44.9% | 55.6% | +10.7 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 24.8% | 35.1% | +10.3 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 22.2% | 12.0% | −10.2 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 31.9% | 41.6% | +9.6 |
