Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sunderland beat Bournemouth with a 17.5% chance, Hull City beat Southampton with a 19.6% chance, and West Bromwich Albion beat Leicester City with a 15.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 31 (before the first match) against those on November 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 58.3% | 69.2% | +10.9 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 62.0% | 52.1% | −9.9 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 39.5% | 49.4% | +9.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 69.9% | 79.0% | +9.1 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 18.5% | 26.9% | +8.4 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 25.7% | 17.6% | −8.1 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 77.7% | 69.7% | −8.0 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 16.4% | 24.3% | +7.9 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 24.3% | 31.2% | +6.9 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 33.2% | 26.4% | −6.8 |
