Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Swansea City beat West Ham with a 20.6% chance and Southampton beat Tottenham with a 20.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 2 (before the first match) against those on May 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | Europa League | 77.2% | 31.6% | −45.6 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 52.8% | 10.6% | −42.2 |
| Southampton | Europa League | 7.9% | 49.0% | +41.1 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 60.8% | 91.4% | +30.6 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 20.2% | 47.0% | +26.7 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 71.6% | 50.1% | −21.6 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 28.2% | 46.5% | +18.3 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 71.8% | 53.5% | −18.3 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 86.4% | 98.0% | +11.6 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 9.3% | <0.1% | −9.2 |
