Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Watford beat West Bromwich Albion with a 24.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 13 (before the first match) against those on April 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City | Relegation | 34.2% | 73.2% | +39.0 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 72.4% | 46.3% | −26.1 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 67.9% | 82.6% | +14.7 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 36.6% | 50.3% | +13.7 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 30.1% | 16.9% | −13.2 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 93.3% | 80.4% | −12.9 |
| Tottenham | Champion | 10.5% | 22.4% | +11.9 |
| Leicester City | Champion | 88.2% | 77.3% | −10.9 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 60.6% | 67.6% | +6.9 |
| Southampton | Europa League | 12.8% | 6.6% | −6.2 |
