Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Norwich City beat West Bromwich Albion with a 16.5% chance and Manchester United beat Manchester City with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 14 (before the first match) against those on March 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champions League | 66.2% | 44.7% | −21.5 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 76.8% | 58.2% | −18.6 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 20.0% | 35.6% | +15.6 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 27.3% | 42.2% | +14.9 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 67.5% | 78.5% | +11.0 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 33.5% | 24.4% | −9.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 85.8% | 93.8% | +8.0 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 12.8% | 5.8% | −7.0 |
| Leicester City | Champion | 61.8% | 68.8% | +7.0 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 53.3% | 59.9% | +6.6 |
