Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Swansea City beat Arsenal with a 15.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 28 (before the first match) against those on March 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | Europa League | 28.1% | 12.0% | −16.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 23.2% | 34.7% | +11.5 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 16.4% | 5.6% | −10.8 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 77.9% | 67.5% | −10.4 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 54.1% | 45.6% | −8.5 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 92.6% | 84.2% | −8.3 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 68.6% | 75.9% | +7.3 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 5.2% | 12.2% | +7.0 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 18.6% | 25.4% | +6.8 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 7.0% | 13.7% | +6.7 |
