Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Crystal Palace with a 21.8% chance, Sunderland beat Swansea City with a 16.4% chance, and Leicester City beat Tottenham with a 20.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 3 (before the first match) against those on January 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | Relegation | 76.0% | 59.2% | −16.7 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 59.3% | 74.4% | +15.1 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 70.8% | 60.0% | −10.8 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 31.4% | 41.0% | +9.6 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 15.7% | 23.7% | +8.0 |
| Leicester City | Champion | 7.9% | 15.7% | +7.8 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 12.3% | 19.5% | +7.2 |
| Leicester City | Europa League | 23.4% | 16.4% | −7.0 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 22.6% | 28.9% | +6.2 |
| Crystal Palace | Europa League | 20.0% | 14.1% | −5.9 |
