Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Arsenal with a 14.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 7 (before the first match) against those on August 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 48.1% | 32.3% | −15.8 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 54.5% | 66.6% | +12.1 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 17.1% | 26.8% | +9.7 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 33.7% | 24.7% | −9.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 30.6% | 38.6% | +8.0 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 55.2% | 62.9% | +7.7 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 9.0% | 16.5% | +7.5 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 28.5% | 35.8% | +7.3 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 14.1% | 6.8% | −7.2 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 17.9% | 10.7% | −7.2 |
