Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Queens Park Rangers beat Sunderland with a 15.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 8 (before the first match) against those on February 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 71.6% | 56.9% | −14.6 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 28.2% | 39.2% | +11.0 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 23.7% | 13.7% | −10.0 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 62.1% | 71.4% | +9.3 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 30.6% | 21.4% | −9.2 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 29.2% | 20.5% | −8.6 |
| Southampton | Champions League | 61.5% | 53.2% | −8.3 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 6.4% | 13.8% | +7.4 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 44.9% | 51.8% | +6.9 |
| Southampton | Europa League | 28.5% | 34.3% | +5.8 |
