Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Leicester City beat Hull City with a 18.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 26 (before the first match) against those on December 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 40.2% | 50.9% | +10.8 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 80.8% | 70.9% | −9.9 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 32.8% | 41.2% | +8.4 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 22.6% | 30.9% | +8.3 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 20.3% | 26.9% | +6.6 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 17.9% | 11.8% | −6.1 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 65.9% | 60.4% | −5.5 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 35.3% | 30.2% | −5.1 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 63.1% | 67.8% | +4.7 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 27.3% | 23.1% | −4.2 |
