Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Crystal Palace with a 18.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 30 (before the first match) against those on December 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 28.8% | 17.5% | −11.3 |
| Southampton | Champions League | 55.8% | 46.4% | −9.5 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 19.4% | 12.0% | −7.3 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 35.9% | 41.5% | +5.7 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 57.9% | 63.5% | +5.6 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 55.6% | 61.1% | +5.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 15.6% | 21.0% | +5.4 |
| Everton | Champions League | 15.8% | 11.0% | −4.8 |
| Swansea City | Europa League | 14.6% | 18.6% | +4.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 30.9% | 34.9% | +3.9 |
