Round 1

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 2 draws and 6 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Swansea City beat Manchester United with a 18.5% chance and Aston Villa beat Stoke City with a 16.1% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 15 (before the first match) against those on August 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
BurnleyRelegation47.3%57.1%+9.8
ChelseaChampions League47.7%57.5%+9.8
Manchester CityChampions League59.8%69.5%+9.7
Manchester UnitedChampions League26.3%18.2%−8.2
Stoke CityChampions League18.3%10.6%−7.8
Hull CityRelegation28.1%20.7%−7.4
Aston VillaRelegation22.7%16.1%−6.6
NewcastleChampions League14.4%8.2%−6.2
SouthamptonChampions League22.7%16.9%−5.8
Manchester CityChampion20.8%26.2%+5.4
Home 58.8%
Draw 22.6%
Away 18.5%
Home 17.8%
Draw 22.2%
Away 60.0%
Home 31.5%
Draw 30.2%
Away 38.3%
Home 62.6%
Draw 21.3%
Away 16.1%
Home 35.4%
Draw 31.4%
Away 33.2%
Home 30.0%
Draw 29.3%
Away 40.8%
Home 62.2%
Draw 21.5%
Away 16.3%
Home 59.0%
Draw 22.6%
Away 18.4%
Home 28.7%
Draw 28.4%
Away 42.8%
Home 13.4%
Draw 20.0%
Away 66.6%