Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sunderland beat Manchester United with a 9.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 28 (before the first match) against those on May 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champion | 38.1% | 83.7% | +45.6 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 52.7% | 16.0% | −36.7 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 33.9% | 3.6% | −30.3 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 83.2% | 100% | +16.8 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 84.2% | 96.4% | +12.2 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 15.7% | 4.3% | −11.5 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 85.3% | 95.7% | +10.5 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 9.2% | 0.3% | −8.9 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 96.9% | 100% | +3.1 |
