Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: West Bromwich Albion beat Swansea City with a 24.3% chance and Aston Villa beat Chelsea with a 20.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 8 (before the first match) against those on March 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champion | 61.4% | 35.9% | −25.5 |
| Everton | Europa League | 56.6% | 73.0% | +16.4 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 25.2% | 36.7% | +11.5 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 18.1% | 7.2% | −10.9 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 86.5% | 76.7% | −9.8 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 8.8% | 18.0% | +9.2 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 10.1% | 1.7% | −8.5 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 87.8% | 95.8% | +8.0 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 11.5% | 4.2% | −7.4 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 16.3% | 23.3% | +7.0 |
