Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Stoke City beat Arsenal with a 21.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 23 (before the first match) against those on May 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City | Relegation | 12.0% | >99.9% | +88.0 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 32.1% | 92.5% | +60.4 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 47.3% | 0% | −47.3 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 44.4% | 0% | −44.4 |
| Everton | Europa League | 56.4% | 100% | +43.6 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 43.6% | 0% | −43.6 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 47.6% | 5.6% | −42.0 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 70.3% | 100% | +29.7 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 67.3% | 94.4% | +27.1 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 83.0% | 100% | +17.0 |
