Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Tottenham beat Manchester United with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 29 (before the first match) against those on January 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champions League | 35.3% | 20.2% | −15.1 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 38.7% | 27.3% | −11.5 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 76.6% | 84.5% | +8.0 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 16.5% | 24.1% | +7.6 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 63.7% | 71.2% | +7.5 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 32.6% | 39.9% | +7.3 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 25.2% | 32.0% | +6.7 |
| Everton | Champions League | 42.3% | 35.6% | −6.7 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 14.3% | 7.7% | −6.6 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 44.8% | 51.1% | +6.4 |
