Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Aston Villa with a 14.4% chance, Sunderland beat Everton with a 6.5% chance, and Fulham beat Norwich City with a 20.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 23 (before the first match) against those on December 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Champions League | 55.8% | 38.7% | −17.2 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 43.6% | 29.9% | −13.7 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 78.1% | 64.9% | −13.3 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 32.0% | 45.1% | +13.1 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 78.4% | 67.3% | −11.1 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 17.4% | 24.7% | +7.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 76.8% | 83.7% | +6.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 66.1% | 59.3% | −6.8 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 8.9% | 15.5% | +6.6 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 66.2% | 72.8% | +6.6 |
