Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Tottenham beat Manchester United with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 23 (before the first match) against those on October 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 55.2% | 44.4% | −10.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 68.4% | 58.4% | −9.9 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 56.4% | 65.7% | +9.3 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 25.6% | 16.7% | −8.9 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 32.4% | 41.2% | +8.9 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 27.3% | 18.9% | −8.4 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 52.7% | 61.1% | +8.4 |
| Everton | Champions League | 37.4% | 44.8% | +7.5 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 54.8% | 62.2% | +7.4 |
| Fulham | Champions League | 23.5% | 16.2% | −7.3 |
