Round 4

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on September 2 (before the first match) against those on September 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Aston VillaRelegation36.3%23.1%−13.2
ArsenalChampions League47.4%58.3%+10.9
Manchester UnitedChampions League53.1%63.8%+10.6
West Bromwich AlbionChampions League29.8%20.4%−9.4
ReadingRelegation44.6%53.9%+9.3
Swansea CityChampions League23.6%15.5%−8.1
TottenhamChampions League24.4%32.0%+7.6
FulhamChampions League12.6%19.4%+6.8
SouthamptonRelegation62.6%69.5%+6.8
Manchester UnitedChampion15.3%22.1%+6.8
Home 62.1%
Draw 21.5%
Away 16.4%
Home 79.6%
Draw 15.9%
Away 4.5%
Home 25.2%
Draw 26.3%
Away 48.5%
Home 41.2%
Draw 29.1%
Away 29.7%
Home 71.1%
Draw 18.6%
Away 10.3%
Home 15.4%
Draw 21.0%
Away 63.6%
Home 22.1%
Draw 24.5%
Away 53.4%
Home 44.2%
Draw 27.9%
Away 27.9%
Home 15.8%
Draw 21.2%
Away 63.0%
Home 44.6%
Draw 27.8%
Away 27.7%