Round 38

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Norwich City beat Manchester City with a 11.2% chance and Fulham beat Swansea City with a 23.9% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on May 14 (before the first match) against those on May 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
ArsenalChampions League63.8%100%+36.2
ArsenalEuropa League36.2%0%−36.2
TottenhamChampions League36.2%0%−36.2
TottenhamEuropa League63.8%100%+36.2
Home 51.9%
Draw 25.1%
Away 23.0%
Home 72.5%
Draw 18.1%
Away 9.4%
Home 69.8%
Draw 19.0%
Away 11.2%
Home 28.4%
Draw 28.2%
Away 43.4%
Home 41.7%
Draw 28.9%
Away 29.4%
Home 50.6%
Draw 25.5%
Away 23.9%
Home 65.5%
Draw 20.4%
Away 14.1%
Home 26.4%
Draw 27.0%
Away 46.6%
Home 56.3%
Draw 23.5%
Away 20.2%
Home 42.6%
Draw 28.5%
Away 28.8%