Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 1 home win, 4 draws and 5 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Reading beat Fulham with a 13.7% chance, Aston Villa beat Norwich City with a 24.1% chance, Wigan Athletic beat West Bromwich Albion with a 16.7% chance, and Chelsea beat Manchester United with a 21.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 29 (before the first match) against those on May 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 75.3% | 51.6% | −23.7 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 3.0% | 22.1% | +19.2 |
| Everton | Europa League | 81.3% | 93.8% | +12.5 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 18.4% | 6.2% | −12.2 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 13.8% | 1.7% | −12.2 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 5.5% | 15.9% | +10.5 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 57.4% | 66.9% | +9.5 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 42.6% | 33.1% | −9.5 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 16.4% | 7.6% | −8.8 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 83.6% | 92.4% | +8.8 |
