Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Queens Park Rangers beat Southampton with a 21.8% chance and West Ham beat Stoke City with a 19.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 25 (before the first match) against those on March 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 49.0% | 29.5% | −19.5 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 45.6% | 59.9% | +14.3 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 72.4% | 83.1% | +10.8 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 25.8% | 16.0% | −9.8 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 11.7% | 2.4% | −9.3 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 46.7% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 93.8% | 85.1% | −8.7 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 33.9% | 42.5% | +8.7 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 70.5% | 77.4% | +6.9 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Europa League | 14.1% | 7.9% | −6.3 |
