Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Southampton beat Manchester City with a 17.1% chance and West Bromwich Albion beat Liverpool with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 3 (before the first match) against those on February 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | Relegation | 30.4% | 14.4% | −16.0 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 60.8% | 49.1% | −11.7 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 33.4% | 22.7% | −10.7 |
| Reading | Relegation | 43.4% | 53.0% | +9.6 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 59.0% | 67.3% | +8.4 |
| Everton | Champions League | 19.5% | 11.5% | −8.0 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 9.5% | 2.5% | −7.0 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 90.1% | 97.1% | +7.0 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 37.4% | 44.0% | +6.6 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 85.5% | 90.7% | +5.2 |
