Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sunderland beat Manchester City with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 23 (before the first match) against those on January 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 20.7% | 50.2% | +29.6 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 51.2% | 26.1% | −25.1 |
| Reading | Relegation | 82.2% | 57.8% | −24.4 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 67.0% | 84.6% | +17.5 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 31.4% | 48.3% | +16.9 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 28.9% | 43.2% | +14.3 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 51.3% | 37.1% | −14.2 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Europa League | 24.2% | 12.2% | −12.0 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 17.1% | 29.0% | +11.9 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Champions League | 13.7% | 2.1% | −11.7 |
