Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackburn Rovers beat Aston Villa with a 21.4% chance and Wigan Athletic beat Chelsea with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 20 (before the first match) against those on September 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champion | 41.2% | 24.3% | −16.8 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 44.4% | 31.6% | −12.8 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 85.1% | 73.5% | −11.7 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 29.5% | 19.2% | −10.3 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 22.4% | 32.4% | +10.0 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 15.1% | 7.8% | −7.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 52.3% | 59.4% | +7.2 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 73.5% | 80.3% | +6.8 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 18.1% | 11.5% | −6.6 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 36.2% | 42.4% | +6.3 |
