Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Bolton Wanderers beat Stoke City with a 17.9% chance and Wigan Athletic beat Arsenal with a 21.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 14 (before the first match) against those on April 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champions League | 59.5% | 32.9% | −26.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 37.1% | 63.4% | +26.3 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 10.3% | 35.3% | +25.0 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 60.4% | 35.6% | −24.8 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 87.2% | 64.6% | −22.7 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 38.0% | 58.6% | +20.6 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 10.4% | 1.4% | −9.0 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 93.0% | 98.0% | +5.1 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 10.0% | 14.5% | +4.5 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 4.1% | 0.1% | −3.9 |
