Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Hull City beat Fulham with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 24 (before the first match) against those on March 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | Relegation | 73.9% | 45.9% | −28.0 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 22.2% | 40.1% | +17.9 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 20.2% | 7.9% | −12.2 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 47.7% | 36.3% | −11.4 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 53.5% | 63.2% | +9.7 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 13.3% | 4.8% | −8.5 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 47.4% | 54.7% | +7.3 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 49.1% | 55.6% | +6.5 |
| Everton | Europa League | 11.9% | 6.0% | −5.9 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 30.8% | 36.5% | +5.7 |
