Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Birmingham City beat Fulham with a 23.9% chance, Sunderland beat Arsenal with a 20.7% chance, and Blackburn Rovers beat Bolton Wanderers with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 9 (before the first match) against those on November 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champion | 30.6% | 18.2% | −12.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 25.7% | 37.2% | +11.5 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 36.6% | 25.2% | −11.4 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 22.9% | 13.2% | −9.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 75.8% | 84.4% | +8.6 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 49.3% | 57.7% | +8.4 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 48.6% | 56.7% | +8.1 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 19.7% | 27.8% | +8.1 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 53.8% | 61.0% | +7.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 87.2% | 80.6% | −6.6 |
