Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Reading beat West Ham with a 17.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 25 (before the first match) against those on October 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 47.3% | 35.8% | −11.5 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 71.4% | 61.6% | −9.7 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 25.7% | 35.2% | +9.5 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 23.6% | 32.1% | +8.5 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 70.9% | 78.5% | +7.6 |
| Reading | Relegation | 20.2% | 13.0% | −7.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 41.9% | 49.0% | +7.1 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 41.2% | 34.0% | −7.1 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 26.0% | 31.9% | +6.0 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 37.1% | 43.0% | +5.9 |
