Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Middlesbrough with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 9 (before the first match) against those on May 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 10.8% | 67.6% | +56.9 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 77.7% | 22.8% | −54.9 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 39.4% | 90.8% | +51.4 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 51.7% | 100% | +48.3 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 74.9% | 33.6% | −41.3 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 48.8% | 9.6% | −39.1 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 84.3% | 100% | +15.7 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 15.7% | 0% | −15.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 88.5% | 100% | +11.5 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 11.0% | 0% | −11.0 |
