Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Deportivo Alavés with a 21.6% chance and Celta Vigo beat Real Sociedad with a 17.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 21 (before the first match) against those on June 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 21.9% | 7.1% | −14.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 79.7% | 93.4% | +13.7 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 22.4% | 10.0% | −12.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 17.7% | 6.3% | −11.4 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 49.9% | 60.6% | +10.7 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 82.6% | 92.9% | +10.3 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 34.1% | 44.1% | +9.9 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 82.3% | 92.0% | +9.7 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 82.4% | 91.9% | +9.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 11.2% | 3.6% | −7.5 |
