Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Mallorca beat Eibar with a 18.6% chance and Leganés beat Villarreal with a 16.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 1 (before the first match) against those on March 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 39.7% | 57.9% | +18.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 59.4% | 41.6% | −17.8 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 76.4% | 63.4% | −13.1 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 78.1% | 67.1% | −11.0 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 9.8% | 19.0% | +9.2 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 76.4% | 84.7% | +8.3 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 10.5% | 18.7% | +8.2 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 17.7% | 11.1% | −6.6 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 60.1% | 66.1% | +6.1 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 4.3% | 8.6% | +4.3 |
