Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 6 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Villarreal beat Sevilla with a 20.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 8 (before the first match) against those on December 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 64.0% | 52.7% | −11.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 43.4% | 53.6% | +10.3 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 30.7% | 40.6% | +9.9 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 20.6% | 25.7% | +5.1 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 20.0% | 15.6% | −4.4 |
| Levante | Relegation | 9.4% | 5.0% | −4.3 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 6.8% | 11.1% | +4.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 45.1% | 49.3% | +4.2 |
