Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Leganés with a 12.1% chance and Real Valladolid beat Real Betis with a 9.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 15 (before the first match) against those on August 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 39.2% | 52.1% | +12.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 23.9% | 34.3% | +10.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 55.1% | 65.3% | +10.2 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 37.7% | 27.5% | −10.1 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 25.2% | 15.0% | −10.1 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 44.5% | 34.7% | −9.9 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 45.2% | 35.5% | −9.7 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 58.0% | 48.4% | −9.6 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 25.8% | 17.6% | −8.3 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 19.2% | 12.0% | −7.2 |
