Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Rayo Vallecano beat Valencia with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 4 (before the first match) against those on April 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champions League | 32.1% | 13.1% | −19.0 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 37.1% | 19.8% | −17.3 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 28.4% | 42.4% | +13.9 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 41.1% | 54.3% | +13.1 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 28.2% | 39.8% | +11.5 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 89.9% | 80.9% | −9.1 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 19.5% | 27.1% | +7.6 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 20.9% | 14.8% | −6.1 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 6.1% | 10.9% | +4.8 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 45.2% | 49.6% | +4.4 |
