Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Rayo Vallecano beat Deportivo Alavés with a 16.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 21 (before the first match) against those on January 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 52.1% | 37.7% | −14.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 54.2% | 66.4% | +12.2 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 18.4% | 28.9% | +10.6 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 30.9% | 21.0% | −9.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 78.6% | 88.1% | +9.5 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 26.2% | 35.4% | +9.2 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 24.3% | 15.2% | −9.1 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 17.1% | 8.7% | −8.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 17.5% | 23.7% | +6.2 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 11.7% | 17.7% | +6.0 |
