Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Levante beat Real Betis with a 13.7% chance, Real Sociedad beat Villarreal with a 17.7% chance, and Huesca beat Eibar with a 9.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 16 (before the first match) against those on August 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | Relegation | 29.9% | 15.0% | −14.9 |
| Huesca | Relegation | 40.7% | 29.0% | −11.7 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 40.7% | 52.5% | +11.7 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 33.4% | 44.9% | +11.5 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 33.4% | 22.9% | −10.5 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 61.9% | 71.9% | +10.0 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 18.0% | 26.8% | +8.8 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 16.1% | 8.3% | −7.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 58.5% | 66.3% | +7.8 |
| Eibar | Champions League | 18.7% | 11.1% | −7.6 |
