Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Real Betis with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 23 (before the first match) against those on October 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Champions League | 58.2% | 48.8% | −9.4 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 28.0% | 35.9% | +8.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 34.8% | 42.4% | +7.6 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 20.5% | 13.2% | −7.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 63.4% | 70.6% | +7.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 83.8% | 90.6% | +6.8 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 20.1% | 26.0% | +5.9 |
| Villarreal | Champion | 11.5% | 6.3% | −5.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 14.5% | 19.4% | +4.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 7.9% | 12.5% | +4.5 |
