Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Rayo Vallecano beat Getafe with a 17.2% chance and Osasuna beat Real Betis with a 23.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 6 (before the first match) against those on January 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 45.4% | 32.0% | −13.5 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 52.3% | 64.9% | +12.6 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 52.1% | 40.6% | −11.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 42.1% | 31.5% | −10.6 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 26.0% | 36.4% | +10.4 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 21.5% | 31.2% | +9.7 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 26.5% | 17.3% | −9.3 |
| Almería | Relegation | 32.1% | 40.9% | +8.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 37.0% | 45.0% | +7.9 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 35.3% | 43.0% | +7.7 |
