Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Almería beat Real Betis with a 16.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 16 (before the first match) against those on December 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almería | Relegation | 64.7% | 47.8% | −16.9 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 23.6% | 33.1% | +9.5 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 44.0% | 52.7% | +8.6 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 16.5% | 8.2% | −8.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 31.5% | 39.6% | +8.1 |
| Elche | Relegation | 24.4% | 29.5% | +5.0 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 21.1% | 16.1% | −5.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 43.1% | 38.2% | −5.0 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 20.2% | 25.0% | +4.9 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 46.1% | 50.7% | +4.6 |
