Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Granada beat Villarreal with a 13.4% chance, Rayo Vallecano beat Getafe with a 21.2% chance, Levante beat Real Madrid with a 24.7% chance, and Real Betis beat Athletic Club with a 19.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 12 (before the first match) against those on September 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada | Relegation | 63.3% | 51.0% | −12.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 29.3% | 17.4% | −11.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 70.1% | 58.3% | −11.8 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 59.7% | 71.5% | +11.7 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 15.6% | 25.7% | +10.1 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 25.1% | 15.2% | −10.0 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 34.8% | 25.2% | −9.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 17.5% | 26.4% | +8.9 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 52.5% | 61.3% | +8.7 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 34.2% | 42.9% | +8.7 |
