Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Zaragoza beat Getafe with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 5 (before the first match) against those on May 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Relegation | 7.1% | 100% | +92.9 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 65.3% | 0% | −65.3 |
| Levante | Europa League | 55.9% | 100% | +44.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 68.1% | 100% | +31.9 |
| Osasuna | Europa League | 27.5% | 0% | −27.5 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 21.8% | 0% | −21.8 |
| Mallorca | Europa League | 18.4% | 0% | −18.4 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 82.7% | 100% | +17.3 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 17.3% | 0% | −17.3 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 12.8% | 0% | −12.8 |
