Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Getafe beat Villarreal with a 19.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 5 (before the first match) against those on March 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 68.8% | 54.1% | −14.7 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 33.6% | 24.0% | −9.6 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 14.9% | 24.2% | +9.3 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 44.6% | 53.2% | +8.6 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 13.4% | 5.2% | −8.2 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 10.8% | 18.1% | +7.4 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 18.5% | 11.2% | −7.3 |
| Levante | Champions League | 22.6% | 16.1% | −6.6 |
| Granada | Relegation | 32.7% | 39.2% | +6.5 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 10.2% | 16.6% | +6.4 |
