Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Getafe with a 18.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 14 (before the first match) against those on February 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Relegation | 27.9% | 16.5% | −11.4 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 43.4% | 54.4% | +11.0 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 18.9% | 9.7% | −9.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 13.8% | 21.5% | +7.7 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 49.4% | 41.8% | −7.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 10.7% | 16.7% | +6.0 |
| Levante | Relegation | 27.8% | 33.7% | +5.9 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 11.9% | 6.7% | −5.3 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 12.9% | 17.8% | +4.9 |
| Almería | Relegation | 49.5% | 53.6% | +4.2 |
