Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sporting Gijón beat Mallorca with a 18.3% chance and Osasuna beat Real Madrid with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 24 (before the first match) against those on January 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga | Relegation | 50.7% | 65.3% | +14.6 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 30.1% | 43.6% | +13.5 |
| Almería | Relegation | 34.8% | 47.1% | +12.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 22.1% | 10.6% | −11.5 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 77.5% | 88.9% | +11.4 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 26.9% | 16.1% | −10.7 |
| Levante | Relegation | 61.2% | 51.2% | −10.0 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 38.1% | 28.4% | −9.6 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 32.0% | 23.4% | −8.6 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 82.0% | 90.4% | +8.4 |
