Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Hércules beat Barcelona with a 6.8% chance and Málaga beat Real Zaragoza with a 18.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 30 (before the first match) against those on September 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champions League | 57.7% | 41.3% | −16.4 |
| Hércules | Relegation | 40.5% | 25.8% | −14.7 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 36.2% | 23.9% | −12.3 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 16.0% | 28.0% | +12.0 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 29.5% | 18.8% | −10.7 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 21.3% | 10.6% | −10.7 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 16.3% | 26.9% | +10.6 |
| Levante | Relegation | 50.2% | 60.6% | +10.4 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 27.8% | 17.9% | −9.9 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 17.3% | 26.9% | +9.6 |
