Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Sociedad beat Getafe with a 17.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 10 (before the first match) against those on January 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 51.4% | 37.2% | −14.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 24.3% | 33.8% | +9.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 30.6% | 22.1% | −8.5 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 26.9% | 18.4% | −8.5 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 69.0% | 77.4% | +8.5 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 57.7% | 49.5% | −8.2 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 12.2% | 4.3% | −7.8 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 29.7% | 36.9% | +7.2 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 39.2% | 46.2% | +7.0 |
| Levante | Relegation | 46.4% | 53.2% | +6.8 |
