Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo La Coruña beat Athletic Club with a 23.2% chance and Málaga beat Sporting Gijón with a 22.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 20 (before the first match) against those on January 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga | Relegation | 56.3% | 41.9% | −14.4 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 42.5% | 53.1% | +10.6 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 61.3% | 51.4% | −9.9 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 39.8% | 48.9% | +9.2 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 74.6% | 82.8% | +8.2 |
| Almería | Relegation | 30.9% | 38.4% | +7.4 |
| Mallorca | Europa League | 13.3% | 19.8% | +6.5 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 19.1% | 13.1% | −6.0 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 12.5% | 6.9% | −5.6 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 19.4% | 14.0% | −5.4 |
