Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Almería beat Sevilla with a 18.1% chance and Racing Santander beat Mallorca with a 14.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 6 (before the first match) against those on December 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almería | Relegation | 38.4% | 26.5% | −11.9 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 37.6% | 49.0% | +11.4 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 55.4% | 65.1% | +9.6 |
| Hércules | Relegation | 25.3% | 15.8% | −9.5 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 30.4% | 21.0% | −9.4 |
| Mallorca | Europa League | 23.2% | 16.9% | −6.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 11.0% | 17.2% | +6.2 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 19.0% | 13.1% | −5.9 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 10.4% | 16.0% | +5.7 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 14.3% | 9.5% | −4.8 |
