Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Tenerife beat Sporting Gijón with a 16.9% chance and Xerez beat Atlético Madrid with a 13.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 11 (before the first match) against those on April 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | Europa League | 18.3% | 37.3% | +19.0 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 47.5% | 34.9% | −12.6 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 32.4% | 22.2% | −10.3 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 43.8% | 51.5% | +7.7 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 92.4% | 84.7% | −7.7 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 8.1% | 15.8% | +7.7 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 9.4% | 16.8% | +7.4 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 42.7% | 50.1% | +7.4 |
| Mallorca | Europa League | 47.2% | 41.5% | −5.7 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 94.6% | 99.2% | +4.6 |
